Results of the 42nd Canadian federal election
2015 Canadian federal election Party Leader % Seats +/– Liberal Justin Trudeau 39.5% 184 +148 Conservative Stephen Harper 31.9% 99 −60 New Democratic Tom Mulcair 19.7% 44 −51 Bloc Québécois Gilles Duceppe 4.7% 10 +8 Green Elizabeth May 3.5% 1 −1
This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below.
The 42nd Canadian federal election was held on October 19, 2015. The incumbent Conservative Party of Canada of Prime Minister Stephen Harper , in office since 2006 , was defeated by the Liberal Party of Canada under the leadership of Justin Trudeau . The Liberals rebounded from third place in the House of Commons with 36 seats to a strong majority government with 184 of the 338 seats in the expanded Commons. The Liberals picked up 148 seats, easily the biggest numerical increase for a Canadian party since Confederation.
Summary A polling station on election day At 9:41pm EDT, October 19, 2015, CBC News projected that the Liberals had won at least a minority government, and that leader Justin Trudeau would become the next Prime Minister of Canada. Less than an hour later, at 10:36pm EDT, CBC News projected a Liberal majority. The New Democratic Party lost more than half the seats they had held, with Tom Mulcair becoming the first major party leader to concede defeat. The Conservatives dropped down to 99 seats to form the main opposition party, and Stephen Harper resigned as leader of the Conservative Party. The Bloc Québécois regained some ridings they had lost in the previous election, but party leader Giles Duceppe failed to regain the seat he lost back in 2011. Green Party leader Elizabeth May kept her seat.[ 1]
According to preliminary figures from Elections Canada, more than 68 per cent of eligible voters cast a ballot, or about 17,546,697 registered electors—a seven percentage point increase from the 2011 federal election, when turnout was just more than 61 per cent.[ 2]
Synopsis of results Results by riding - 2015 Canadian federal election[ a 1] [ a 2] [ a 3] Riding Prov/ Terr 2011 (Redist. ) Winning party Turnout[ a 4] Votes[ a 5] Type[ a 6] Party Party Votes Share Margin # Margin % Lib Con NDP BQ Green Ind Other Total[ a 7] Banff—Airdrie AB MOD Con Con 42,228 63.4% 24,848 37.3% 71.8% 17,380 42,228 4,521 – 2,509 – – 66,638 Battle River—Crowfoot AB MOD Con Con 47,552 80.9% 42,047 71.5% 72.1% 5,505 47,552 3,844 – 1,868 – – 58,769 Bow River AB NEW Con Con 38,701 77.4% 31,861 63.7% 65.9% 6,840 38,701 2,622 – 919 543 363 49,988 Calgary Centre AB MOD Con Lib 28,496 46.5% 750 1.2% 70.1% 28,496 27,746 3,412 – 1,347 248 – 61,249 Calgary Confederation AB MOD Con Con 30,669 45.9% 1,586 2.4% 73.6% 29,083 30,669 4,770 – 2,146 – 140 66,808 Calgary Forest Lawn AB MOD Con Con 19,694 48.0% 4,932 12.0% 54.9% 14,762 19,694 4,006 – 1,229 – 1,356 41,047 Calgary Heritage AB MOD Con Con 37,263 63.8% 22,091 37.8% 72.6% 15,172 37,263 4,255 – 1,246 248 246 58,430 Calgary Midnapore AB MOD Con Con 42,415 66.7% 28,019 44.1% 72.6% 14,396 42,415 4,915 – 1,691 – 145 63,562 Calgary Nose Hill AB MOD Con Con 32,760 60.0% 18,089 33.2% 66.7% 14,671 32,760 4,836 – 1,384 – 911 54,562 Calgary Rocky Ridge AB NEW Con Con 38,229 60.4% 18,191 28.7% 72.1% 20,038 38,229 3,665 – 1,360 – – 63,292 Calgary Shepard AB NEW Con Con 43,706 65.9% 27,327 41.2% 67.9% 16,379 43,706 4,532 – 1,734 – – 66,351 Calgary Signal Hill AB MOD Con Con 37,858 60.6% 18,750 30.0% 73.3% 19,108 37,858 3,128 – 1,586 – 839 62,519 Calgary Skyview AB MOD Con Lib 20,644 45.9% 2,759 6.1% 60.7% 20,644 17,885 3,605 – 846 182 1,831 44,993 Edmonton Centre AB MOD Con Lib 19,902 37.2% 1,199 2.2% 67.0% 19,902 18,703 13,084 – 1,403 163 257 53,512 Edmonton Griesbach AB MOD Con Con 19,157 40.0% 2,848 5.9% 59.1% 10,397 19,157 16,309 – 1,129 – 950 47,942 Edmonton Manning AB NEW Con Con 22,166 45.2% 8,657 17.7% 60.5% 13,509 22,166 11,582 – 1,079 540 125 49,001 Edmonton Mill Woods AB MOD Con Lib 20,423 41.2% 92 0.2% 66.6% 20,423 20,331 6,330 – 1,096 560 777 49,517 Edmonton Riverbend AB MOD Con Con 28,805 49.9% 11,377 19.7% 70.4% 17,428 28,805 9,846 – 1,275 – 386 57,740 Edmonton Strathcona AB MOD NDP NDP 24,446 44.0% 7,051 12.7% 71.0% 11,524 17,395 24,446 – 1,278 223 738 55,604 Edmonton West AB MOD Con Con 26,370 49.3% 7,721 14.4% 66.2% 18,649 26,370 6,955 – 1,037 – 446 53,457 Edmonton—Wetaskiwin AB NEW Con Con 44,949 65.8% 30,289 44.3% 67.9% 14,660 44,949 6,645 – 1,595 – 495 68,344 Foothills AB MOD Con Con 46,166 75.7% 38,017 62.3% 73.1% 8,149 46,166 3,919 – 1,983 – 769 60,986 Fort McMurray—Cold Lake AB MOD Con Con 28,625 60.6% 15,222 32.2% 60.8% 13,403 28,625 3,663 – 743 – 832 47,266 Grande Prairie-Mackenzie AB MOD Con Con 38,895 72.9% 31,076 58.3% 64.7% 7,819 38,895 4,343 – 1,673 – 613 53,343 Lakeland AB MRG Con Con 39,882 72.8% 32,382 59.1% 68.9% 7,500 39,882 7,500 – 1,283 – 601 54,779 Lethbridge AB MOD Con Con 32,321 56.8% 20,647 36.3% 67.7% 10,532 32,321 11,674 – 1,461 – 955 56,943 Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner AB MOD Con Con 34,849 68.8% 25,764 50.9% 65.2% 9,085 34,849 4,897 – 1,319 500 – 50,650 Peace River—Westlock AB NEW Con Con 34,342 69.4% 27,215 55.0% 64.1% 6,360 34,342 7,127 – 1,247 – 443 49,519 Red Deer—Lacombe AB MOD Con Con 43,599 70.7% 34,364 55.7% 69.4% 9,235 43,599 7,055 – 1,773 – – 61,662 Red Deer—Mountain View AB MOD Con Con 46,245 74.3% 37,889 60.9% 70.6% 8,356 46,245 5,233 – 1,621 – 757 62,212 St. Albert—Edmonton AB MOD Con Con 26,783 45.2% 13,440 22.7% 69.7% 13,343 26,783 6,609 – 821 11,652 – 59,208 Sherwood Park—Fort Saskatchewan AB MOD Con Con 42,642 63.9% 29,027 43.5% 74.1% 13,615 42,642 6,540 – 1,648 1,563 678 66,686 Sturgeon River—Parkland AB NEW Con Con 43,220 70.2% 33,634 54.7% 70.9% 9,586 43,220 6,166 – 1,875 – 690 61,537 Yellowhead AB MOD Con Con 37,950 72.3% 30,483 58.0% 69.3% 7,467 37,950 4,753 – 1,538 – 817 52,525 Abbotsford BC MOD Con Con 23,229 48.3% 7,452 15.5% 69.7% 15,777 23,229 6,593 – 2,416 – 109 48,124 Burnaby North—Seymour BC CHG Con Lib 18,938 36.1% 3,401 6.5% 70.3% 18,938 14,612 15,537 – 2,765 207 423 52,480 Burnaby South BC NEW NDP NDP 16,094 35.1% 547 1.2% 60.8% 15,547 12,441 16,094 – 1,306 – 499 45,887 Cariboo—Prince George BC MOD Con Con 19,688 36.6% 2,767 5.1% 67.8% 16,921 19,688 13,879 – 1,860 1,059 327 53,734 Central Okanagan—Similkameen—Nicola BC MOD Con Con 24,517 39.6% 1,458 2.4% 71.0% 23,059 24,517 11,961 – 2,436 – – 61,973 Chilliwack—Hope BC MOD Con Con 21,445 42.3% 4,331 8.5% 69.7% 17,114 21,445 9,218 – 2,386 – 498 50,661 Cloverdale—Langley City BC NEW Con Lib 24,617 45.5% 5,817 10.8% 69.4% 24,617 18,800 8,463 – 2,195 – – 54,075 Coquitlam—Port Coquitlam BC MOD Con Lib 19,938 35.3% 1,855 3.3% 66.7% 19,938 18,083 15,400 – 2,076 – 1,014 56,511 Courtenay—Alberni BC MOD Con NDP 26,582 38.1% 6,868 9.8% 75.9% 15,212 19,714 26,582 – 8,201 – 140 69,849 Cowichan—Malahat—Langford BC MOD NDP NDP 22,200 35.9% 7,515 12.2% 75.7% 14,685 14,091 22,200 – 10,462 – 340 61,778 Delta BC NEW Con Lib 27,355 49.1% 9,100 16.3% 74.5% 27,355 18,255 8,311 – 1,768 – – 55,689 Esquimalt—Saanich—Sooke BC MOD NDP NDP 23,836 35.0% 5,214 7.7% 75.0% 18,622 11,912 23,836 – 13,575 – 136 68,081 Fleetwood—Port Kells BC MOD Con Lib 22,871 46.9% 8,596 17.6% 65.2% 22,871 14,275 10,463 – 1,154 – – 48,763 Kamloops—Thompson—Cariboo BC MOD Con Con 24,595 35.3% 3,129 4.5% 73.4% 21,215 24,595 21,466 – 2,489 – – 69,765 Kelowna—Lake Country BC MOD Con Lib 29,614 46.2% 4,112 6.4% 70.7% 29,614 25,502 9,039 – – – – 64,155 Kootenay—Columbia BC MOD Con NDP 23,529 37.2% 282 0.4% 73.0% 12,315 23,247 23,529 – 4,115 – – 63,206 Langley—Aldergrove BC MOD Con Con 27,333 45.6% 5,439 9.1% 72.4% 21,894 27,333 7,490 – 2,644 – 535 59,896 Mission—Matsqui—Fraser Canyon BC NEW Con Lib 16,625 37.2% 1,038 2.3% 70.4% 16,625 15,587 9,174 – 2,293 914 58 44,651 Nanaimo—Ladysmith BC NEW NDP NDP 23,651 33.2% 6,898 9.7% 75.0% 16,753 16,637 23,651 – 14,074 – 126 71,241 New Westminster—Burnaby BC MOD NDP NDP 22,876 43.5% 7,623 14.5% 65.9% 15,253 10,512 22,876 – 2,487 – 1,514 52,642 North Island—Powell River BC MOD Con NDP 24,340 40.2% 8,500 14.0% 74.6% 15,416 15,840 24,340 – 4,940 – – 60,536 North Okanagan—Shuswap BC MOD Con Con 27,490 39.3% 6,541 9.4% 71.9% 20,949 27,490 17,907 – 3,608 – – 69,954 North Vancouver BC MOD Con Lib 36,458 56.7% 19,157 29.8% 75.8% 36,458 17,301 5,015 – 5,350 94 136 64,354 Pitt Meadows—Maple Ridge BC MOD Con Lib 17,673 33.9% 1,300 2.5% 72.0% 17,673 16,373 15,450 – 2,202 452 – 52,150 Port Moody—Coquitlam BC CHG Con NDP 19,706 36.0% 2,818 5.2% 68.9% 16,888 16,112 19,706 – 1,878 – 83 54,667 Prince George—Peace River—Northern Rockies BC MOD Con Con 27,237 52.5% 14,324 27.6% 66.5% 12,913 27,237 8,014 – 2,672 – 1,023 51,859 Richmond Centre BC MOD Con Con 17,622 44.2% 1,136 2.8% 57.5% 16,486 17,622 4,602 – 1,152 – – 39,862 Saanich—Gulf Islands BC MOD Grn Grn 37,070 54.4% 23,810 34.9% 78.7% 11,380 13,260 6,181 – 37,070 – 249 68,140 Skeena—Bulkley Valley BC MOD NDP NDP 22,531 51.1% 11,595 26.3% 68.3% 8,257 10,936 22,531 – 1,605 – 780 44,109 South Okanagan—West Kootenay BC CHG Con NDP 24,823 37.3% 4,952 7.4% 72.6% 18,732 19,871 24,823 – 2,792 376 – 66,594 South Surrey—White Rock BC MOD Con Con 24,934 44.0% 1,439 2.5% 74.0% 23,495 24,934 5,895 – 1,938 – 369 56,631 Steveston—Richmond East BC MOD Con Lib 19,486 45.1% 2,856 6.6% 60.2% 19,486 16,630 5,248 – 1,587 – 274 43,225 Surrey Centre BC MOD NDP Lib 19,471 45.1% 6,479 15.0% 60.5% 19,471 8,556 12,992 – 1,493 – 686 43,198 Surrey—Newton BC MOD NDP Lib 24,869 56.0% 13,267 29.9% 67.9% 24,869 6,978 11,602 – 975 – – 44,424 Vancouver Centre BC MOD Lib Lib 32,554 56.1% 20,936 36.1% 65.9% 32,554 9,818 11,618 – 3,370 – 688 58,048 Vancouver East BC ORG NDP NDP 29,316 49.9% 12,784 21.8% 66.2% 16,532 6,322 29,316 – 5,395 216 927 58,708 Vancouver Granville BC NEW Con Lib 23,643 43.9% 9,181 17.1% 67.1% 23,643 14,028 14,462 – 1,691 – – 53,824 Vancouver Kingsway BC MOD NDP NDP 20,763 45.7% 8,138 17.9% 63.3% 12,625 9,538 20,763 – 1,476 – 994 45,396 Vancouver Quadra BC MOD Lib Lib 31,102 58.7% 17,419 32.9% 69.9% 31,102 13,683 5,748 – 2,229 59 151 52,972 Vancouver South BC MOD Con Lib 21,773 48.8% 6,658 14.9% 63.2% 21,773 15,115 6,230 – 1,149 – 344 44,611 Victoria BC ORG NDP NDP 30,397 42.3% 6,731 9.4% 76.2% 8,489 8,480 30,397 – 23,666 124 739 71,895 West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country BC MOD Con Lib 36,300 54.6% 18,889 28.4% 73.6% 36,300 17,411 6,554 – 5,907 – 286 66,458 Brandon—Souris MB MOD Con Con 20,666 50.3% 5,328 13.0% 67.3% 15,338 20,666 2,576 – 2,526 – – 41,106 Charleswood—St. James—Assiniboia—Headingley MB ORG Con Lib 24,531 52.0% 6,123 13.0% 73.9% 24,531 18,408 2,842 – 1,376 – – 47,157 Churchill—Keewatinook Aski MB MOD NDP NDP 13,487 45.0% 912 3.0% 58.1% 12,575 3,090 13,487 – 537 – 255 29,944 Dauphin—Swan River—Neepawa MB MOD Con Con 19,276 46.3% 7,000 16.8% 65.3% 12,276 19,276 5,097 – 1,592 3,357 – 41,598 Elmwood—Transcona MB MOD Con NDP 14,709 34.1% 61 0.1% 65.6% 12,713 14,648 14,709 – 1,016 – – 43,086 Kildonan—St. Paul MB MOD Con Lib 18,717 42.7% 1,239 2.8% 70.7% 18,717 17,478 6,270 – 783 142 485 43,875 Portage—Lisgar MB MOD Con Con 25,060 60.8% 14,439 35.1% 65.4% 10,621 25,060 2,554 – 1,637 – 1,315 41,187 Provencher MB MOD Con Con 25,086 56.1% 9,577 21.4% 67.9% 15,509 25,086 2,371 – 1,779 – – 44,745 Saint Boniface—Saint Vital MB MOD Con Lib 28,530 58.4% 14,525 29.8% 74.0% 28,530 14,005 5,169 – 1,119 – – 48,823 Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman MB MOD Con Con 25,617 51.9% 10,109 20.5% 68.6% 15,508 25,617 5,649 – 1,707 – 882 49,363 Winnipeg Centre MB ORG NDP Lib 18,471 54.5% 8,981 26.5% 60.0% 18,471 4,189 9,490 – 1,379 – 356 33,885 Winnipeg North MB CHG NDP Lib 23,402 68.9% 18,209 53.6% 58.4% 23,402 5,193 4,543 – 826 – – 33,964 Winnipeg South MB MOD Con Lib 28,096 58.3% 11,387 23.6% 74.9% 28,096 16,709 2,404 – 990 – – 48,199 Winnipeg South Centre MB MOD Con Lib 31,993 59.7% 16,891 31.5% 76.3% 31,993 15,102 4,799 – 1,677 – – 53,571 Acadie—Bathurst NB MOD NDP Lib 25,845 50.7% 5,766 11.3% 76.8% 25,845 3,852 20,079 – 1,187 – – 50,963 Beauséjour NB MOD Lib Lib 36,534 69.0% 28,525 53.9% 79.6% 36,534 6,017 8,009 – 2,376 – – 52,936 Fredericton NB MOD Con Lib 23,016 49.3% 9,736 20.8% 75.7% 23,016 13,280 4,622 – 5,804 – – 46,722 Fundy Royal NB MOD Con Lib 19,136 40.9% 1,775 3.8% 74.6% 19,136 17,361 8,204 – 1,823 296 – 46,820 Madawaska—Restigouche NB MOD Con Lib 20,778 55.7% 11,108 29.8% 74.0% 20,778 6,151 9,670 – 707 – – 37,306 Miramichi—Grand Lake NB MOD Con Lib 17,202 47.3% 4,726 13.0% 75.8% 17,202 12,476 5,588 – 1,098 – – 36,364 Moncton—Riverview—Dieppe NB MOD Con Lib 30,054 57.8% 18,886 36.3% 72.7% 30,054 11,168 8,420 – 2,399 – – 52,041 New Brunswick Southwest NB MOD Con Lib 16,656 43.9% 2,031 5.4% 73.7% 16,656 14,625 4,768 – 1,877 – – 37,926 Saint John—Rothesay NB MOD Con Lib 20,634 48.8% 7,719 18.3% 68.8% 20,634 12,915 7,411 – 1,321 – – 42,281 Tobique—Mactaquac NB MOD Con Lib 17,909 46.6% 3,684 9.6% 71.4% 17,909 14,225 4,334 – 1,959 – – 38,427 Avalon NL CHG Con Lib 23,528 55.9% 16,027 38.1% 61.7% 23,528 4,670 6,075 – 228 7,501 84 42,086 Bonavista—Burin—Trinity NL MOD Lib Lib 28,704 81.8% 25,170 71.7% 56.5% 28,704 3,534 2,557 – 297 – – 35,092 Coast of Bays—Central—Notre Dame NL MOD Lib Lib 26,523 74.8% 20,044 56.5% 55.4% 26,523 6,479 2,175 – 271 – – 35,448 Labrador NL ORG Con Lib 8,878 71.8% 7,099 57.4% 62.0% 8,878 1,716 1,779 – – – – 12,373 Long Range Mountains NL MOD Lib Lib 30,889 73.9% 25,804 61.7% 58.3% 30,889 5,085 4,739 – 1,111 – – 41,824 St. John's East NL MOD NDP Lib 20,974 46.7% 646 1.4% 67.9% 20,974 2,938 20,328 – 500 – 140 44,880 St. John's South—Mount Pearl NL MOD NDP Lib 25,922 57.9% 9,455 21.1% 66.5% 25,922 2,047 16,467 – 365 – – 44,801 Cape Breton—Canso NS MOD Lib Lib 32,163 74.4% 25,917 59.9% 71.6% 32,163 6,246 3,547 – 1,281 – – 43,237 Central Nova NS MOD Con Lib 25,909 58.5% 14,491 32.7% 73.4% 25,909 11,418 4,532 – 1,834 570 – 44,263 Cumberland—Colchester NS MOD Con Lib 29,527 63.7% 17,270 37.3% 71.0% 29,527 12,257 2,647 – 1,650 251 – 46,332 Dartmouth—Cole Harbour NS MOD NDP Lib 30,407 58.2% 17,650 33.8% 71.2% 30,407 7,331 12,757 – 1,775 – – 52,270 Halifax NS MOD NDP Lib 27,431 51.7% 8,269 15.6% 72.6% 27,431 4,564 19,162 – 1,745 – 130 53,032 Halifax West NS MOD Lib Lib 34,377 68.6% 26,540 53.0% 71.3% 34,377 7,837 5,894 – 1,971 – – 50,079 Kings—Hants NS ORG Lib Lib 33,026 70.7% 24,349 52.2% 69.8% 33,026 8,677 2,998 – 1,569 232 184 46,686 Sackville—Preston—Chezzetcook NS MOD NDP Lib 23,161 48.0% 6,548 13.6% 71.3% 23,161 7,186 16,613 – 1,341 – – 48,301 South Shore—St. Margarets NS MOD Con Lib 30,045 56.9% 18,140 34.4% 69.6% 30,045 11,905 8,883 – 1,534 257 151 52,775 Sydney—Victoria NS ORG Lib Lib 29,995 73.2% 24,644 60.1% 68.7% 29,995 4,360 5,351 – 1,026 – 242 40,974 West Nova NS ORG Con Lib 28,775 63.0% 16,859 36.9% 68.5% 28,775 11,916 3,084 – 1,904 – – 45,679 Ajax ON MOD Con Lib 31,458 55.9% 12,084 21.5% 66.3% 31,458 19,374 4,630 – 788 57 56,307 Algoma—Manitoulin—Kapuskasing ON MOD NDP NDP 16,516 39.9% 2,405 5.8% 65.7% 14,111 9,820 16,516 – 927 – – 41,374 Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill ON NEW Con Lib 24,132 47.3% 1,093 2.1% 64.7% 24,132 23,039 2,912 – 654 – 243 50,980 Barrie—Innisfil ON MOD Con Con 22,901 46.4% 4,593 9.3% 64.1% 18,308 22,901 5,812 – 1,991 – 329 49,341 Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte ON NEW Con Con 21,091 41.7% 86 0.2% 66.7% 21,005 21,091 5,202 – 2,648 188 401 50,535 Bay of Quinte ON MOD Con Lib 29,281 50.7% 9,500 16.5% 68.1% 29,281 19,781 7,001 – 1,278 372 – 57,713 Beaches—East York ON ORG NDP Lib 27,458 49.4% 10,345 18.6% 72.0% 27,458 9,124 17,113 – 1,433 297 105 55,530 Brampton Centre ON NEW Con Lib 19,277 48.6% 5,932 15.0% 60.9% 19,277 13,345 5,993 – 844 – 173 39,632 Brampton East ON CHG NDP Lib 23,652 52.3% 13,010 28.8% 65.7% 23,652 10,642 10,400 – 512 – – 45,206 Brampton North ON MOD Con Lib 23,297 48.4% 7,409 15.4% 65.4% 23,297 15,888 7,946 – 915 – 120 48,166 Brampton South ON NEW Con Lib 23,681 52.1% 7,752 17.1% 62.6% 23,681 15,929 4,843 – 1,011 – – 45,464 Brampton West ON MOD Con Lib 24,256 55.9% 11,188 25.8% 60.6% 24,256 13,068 5,400 – 674 – – 43,398 Brantford—Brant ON MOD Con Con 25,874 40.9% 6,452 10.2% 65.2% 19,422 25,874 15,715 – 1,582 164 515 63,272 Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound ON ORG Con Con 26,297 46.7% 4,418 7.8% 68.5% 21,879 26,297 6,270 – 1,887 – – 56,333 Burlington ON MOD Con Lib 32,229 46.0% 2,449 3.5% 73.2% 32,229 29,780 6,381 – 1,710 – – 70,100 Cambridge ON MOD Con Lib 23,024 43.2% 2,411 4.5% 64.1% 23,024 20,613 7,397 – 1,723 474 108 53,339 Carleton ON NEW Con Con 27,762 46.9% 1,849 3.1% 80.1% 25,913 27,762 3,632 – 1,932 – – 59,239 Chatham-Kent—Leamington ON MOD Con Con 21,677 41.7% 2,326 4.5% 65.5% 19,351 21,677 9,549 – 1,394 – – 51,971 Davenport ON ORG NDP Lib 21,947 44.3% 1,441 2.9% 67.0% 21,947 5,233 20,506 – 1,530 107 261 49,584 Don Valley East ON CHG Lib Lib 24,048 57.8% 11,893 28.6% 65.8% 24,048 12,155 4,307 – 1,078 – – 41,588 Don Valley North ON NEW Con Lib 23,494 51.4% 6,215 13.6% 63.1% 23,494 17,279 3,896 – 1,018 – – 45,687 Don Valley West ON MOD Con Lib 27,472 53.8% 8,266 16.2% 72.2% 27,472 19,206 3,076 – 848 75 409 51,086 Dufferin—Caledon ON ORG Con Con 27,977 46.3% 4,334 7.2% 65.5% 23,643 27,977 4,398 – 4,433 – – 60,451 Durham ON MOD Con Con 28,967 45.1% 6,018 9.4% 68.5% 22,949 28,967 10,289 – 1,616 – 364 64,185 Eglinton—Lawrence ON ORG Con Lib 27,278 48.9% 3,490 6.3% 71.5% 27,278 23,788 3,505 – 799 – 422 55,792 Elgin—Middlesex—London ON MOD Con Con 28,023 49.2% 10,381 18.2% 68.5% 17,642 28,023 8,771 – 1,783 – 714 56,933 Essex ON MOD Con NDP 25,072 41.4% 3,470 5.7% 65.7% 12,639 21,602 25,072 – 1,141 – 77 60,531 Etobicoke Centre ON MOD Con Lib 32,612 52.8% 9,542 15.4% 70.2% 32,612 23,070 4,886 – 856 – 378 61,802 Etobicoke North ON MOD Lib Lib 26,251 62.4% 16,578 39.4% 60.5% 26,251 9,673 5,220 – 524 164 232 42,064 Etobicoke—Lakeshore ON MOD Con Lib 34,638 53.7% 13,706 21.2% 69.0% 34,638 20,932 7,030 – 1,507 – 401 64,508 Flamborough—Glanbrook ON NEW Con Con 24,137 43.5% 2,409 4.3% 70.2% 21,728 24,137 7,779 – 1,866 – – 55,510 Glengarry—Prescott—Russell ON MOD Con Lib 34,189 53.3% 10,822 16.9% 75.1% 34,189 23,367 5,087 – 1,153 – 377 64,173 Guelph ON ORG Lib Lib 34,303 49.1% 15,896 22.8% 71.3% 34,303 18,407 8,392 – 7,909 – 857 69,868 Haldimand—Norfolk ON MOD Con Con 24,714 44.1% 4,227 7.5% 67.7% 20,487 24,714 7,625 – 1,857 423 884 55,990 Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock ON MOD Con Con 27,718 44.8% 8,084 13.1% 67.6% 19,634 27,718 12,012 – 2,470 – – 61,834 Hamilton Centre ON MOD NDP NDP 18,719 45.6% 5,001 12.2% 59.4% 13,718 6,018 18,719 – 1,778 186 664 41,083 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek ON MOD NDP Lib 19,622 39.0% 3,157 6.3% 62.8% 19,622 12,715 16,465 – 1,305 – 225 50,332 Hamilton Mountain ON MOD NDP NDP 18,146 35.9% 1,213 2.4% 65.6% 16,933 12,991 18,146 – 1,283 – 1,201 50,554 Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas ON MOD Con Lib 29,694 47.7% 9,873 15.9% 72.5% 29,694 19,821 10,131 – 2,633 – – 62,279 Hastings—Lennox and Addington ON NEW Con Lib 21,104 42.4% 225 0.5% 68.5% 21,104 20,879 6,348 – 1,466 – – 49,797 Humber River—Black Creek ON ORG Lib Lib 23,995 66.9% 16,767 46.8% 57.5% 23,995 7,228 3,851 – 584 – 201 35,859 Huron—Bruce ON ORG Con Con 26,174 44.9% 3,045 5.2% 72.4% 23,129 26,174 7,544 – 1,398 – – 58,245 Kanata—Carleton ON MOD Con Lib 32,477 51.3% 7,648 12.1% 79.0% 32,477 24,829 4,313 – 1,704 – – 63,323 Kenora ON MOD Con Lib 10,918 35.5% 498 1.6% 69.7% 10,918 8,751 10,420 – 501 162 – 30,752 King—Vaughan ON NEW Con Lib 25,908 47.4% 1,738 3.2% 63.8% 25,908 24,170 3,571 – 1,037 – – 54,686 Kingston and the Islands ON MOD Lib Lib 36,421 55.4% 21,493 32.7% 70.3% 36,421 14,928 11,185 – 2,933 – 305 65,772 Kitchener Centre ON MOD Con Lib 25,504 48.8% 9,632 18.4% 67.5% 25,504 15,872 8,680 – 1,597 – 627 52,280 Kitchener South—Hespeler ON NEW Con Lib 20,215 42.3% 2,671 5.6% 65.9% 20,215 17,544 7,440 – 1,767 – 863 47,829 Kitchener—Conestoga ON MOD Con Con 20,649 43.3% 251 0.5% 69.3% 20,398 20,649 4,653 – 1,314 – 685 47,699 Lambton—Kent—Middlesex ON MOD Con Con 28,300 50.2% 11,708 20.8% 69.7% 16,592 28,300 9,598 – 1,873 – – 56,363 Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston ON MOD Con Con 27,399 47.9% 8,074 14.1% 72.3% 19,325 27,399 8,073 – 2,025 – 418 57,240 Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes ON ORG Con Con 26,738 47.4% 3,850 6.8% 71.1% 22,888 26,738 4,722 – 2,088 – – 56,436 London North Centre ON MOD Con Lib 32,427 50.5% 12,437 19.4% 69.4% 32,427 19,990 9,423 – 2,286 – 145 64,271 London West ON MOD Con Lib 31,167 45.8% 7,131 10.5% 73.3% 31,167 24,036 10,087 – 1,918 – 819 68,027 London—Fanshawe ON MOD NDP NDP 20,684 37.8% 3,470 6.3% 63.0% 17,214 14,891 20,684 – 1,604 352 – 54,745 Markham—Stouffville ON MOD Con Lib 29,416 49.2% 3,851 6.4% 68.2% 29,416 25,565 3,647 – 1,145 – – 59,773 Markham—Thornhill ON NEW Lib Lib 23,878 55.7% 10,029 23.4% 60.8% 23,878 13,849 4,595 – 535 – – 42,857 Markham—Unionville ON MOD Con Con 24,605 49.4% 3,009 6.0% 60.4% 21,596 24,605 2,528 – 1,110 – – 49,839 Milton ON NEW Con Con 22,378 45.4% 2,438 4.9% 68.5% 19,940 22,378 5,366 – 1,131 – 493 49,308 Mississauga Centre ON NEW Con Lib 28,372 54.7% 10,941 21.1% 62.3% 28,372 17,431 4,920 – 1,129 – – 51,852 Mississauga East—Cooksville ON MOD Con Lib 28,154 54.2% 9,801 18.9% 63.1% 28,154 18,353 4,481 – 766 – 163 51,917 Mississauga—Erin Mills ON MOD Con Lib 27,520 49.7% 5,804 10.5% 66.9% 27,520 21,716 5,206 – 905 – – 55,347 Mississauga—Lakeshore ON MOD Con Lib 28,279 47.7% 3,844 6.5% 68.7% 28,279 24,435 4,735 – 1,397 – 427 59,273 Mississauga—Malton ON MOD Con Lib 26,165 59.1% 14,464 32.7% 59.1% 26,165 11,701 5,450 – 737 203 – 44,256 Mississauga—Streetsville ON MOD Con Lib 26,792 47.8% 4,171 7.4% 67.4% 26,792 22,621 5,040 – 1,293 – 253 55,999 Nepean ON MOD Con Lib 34,017 52.4% 10,575 16.3% 77.5% 34,017 23,442 5,324 – 1,513 551 41 64,888 Newmarket—Aurora ON MOD Con Lib 25,508 45.2% 1,451 2.6% 68.1% 25,508 24,057 4,806 – 1,331 – 762 56,464 Niagara Centre ON MOD NDP Lib 19,513 35.7% 2,295 4.2% 65.6% 19,513 16,248 17,218 – 1,316 – 387 54,682 Niagara Falls ON ORG Con Con 27,235 42.1% 4,917 7.6% 63.0% 22,318 27,235 13,525 – 1,633 – – 64,711 Niagara West ON MOD Con Con 24,732 48.8% 8,151 16.1% 73.3% 16,581 24,732 5,802 – 1,511 – 2,031 50,657 Nickel Belt ON MOD NDP Lib 21,021 42.8% 2,465 5.0% 67.1% 21,021 8,221 18,556 – 1,217 – 98 49,113 Nipissing—Timiskaming ON MOD Lib Lib 25,357 51.9% 11,032 22.6% 68.3% 25,357 14,325 7,936 – 1,257 – – 48,875 Northumberland—Peterborough South ON MOD Con Lib 27,043 42.5% 1,878 3.0% 71.3% 27,043 25,165 9,411 – 1,990 – – 63,609 Oakville ON ORG Con Lib 31,956 49.4% 4,459 6.9% 73.4% 31,956 27,497 3,830 – 1,420 – – 64,703 Oakville North—Burlington ON MOD Con Lib 28,415 46.7% 2,073 3.4% 71.2% 28,415 26,342 4,405 – 968 – 666 60,796 Orléans ON MOD Con Lib 46,542 59.7% 22,721 29.1% 80.6% 46,542 23,821 6,215 – 1,410 – – 77,988 Oshawa ON MOD Con Con 23,162 38.2% 3,823 6.3% 63.2% 16,588 23,162 19,339 – 1,522 – 75 60,686 Ottawa Centre ON MOD NDP Lib 32,211 42.7% 3,113 4.1% 80.0% 32,211 10,943 29,098 – 2,246 – 1,002 75,500 Ottawa South ON MOD Lib Lib 38,831 60.1% 23,120 35.8% 73.6% 38,831 15,711 7,480 – 1,888 – 739 64,649 Ottawa West—Nepean ON MOD Con Lib 35,199 55.9% 16,306 25.9% 74.8% 35,199 18,893 6,195 – 1,772 – 854 62,913 Ottawa—Vanier ON MOD Lib Lib 36,474 57.6% 24,280 38.3% 73.6% 36,474 12,109 12,194 – 1,947 – 631 63,355 Oxford ON MOD Con Con 25,966 45.7% 7,667 13.5% 67.9% 18,299 25,966 9,406 – 2,004 – 1,175 56,850 Parkdale—High Park ON ORG NDP Lib 24,623 42.0% 1,057 1.8% 73.3% 24,623 7,641 23,566 – 1,743 93 901 58,567 Parry Sound-Muskoka ON ORG Con Con 22,206 43.3% 2,269 4.4% 67.6% 19,937 22,206 5,183 – 3,704 – 249 51,279 Perth Wellington ON ORG Con Con 22,255 42.9% 2,775 5.4% 68.0% 19,480 22,255 7,756 – 1,347 219 794 51,851 Peterborough—Kawartha ON MOD Con Lib 29,159 43.8% 5,824 8.8% 71.6% 29,159 23,335 12,437 – 1,480 – 131 66,542 Pickering—Uxbridge ON MOD Con Lib 29,757 50.3% 7,166 12.1% 69.0% 29,757 22,591 5,446 – 1,365 – – 59,159 Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke ON ORG Con Con 26,195 45.8% 7,529 13.2% 72.7% 18,666 26,195 4,893 – 1,105 6,300 – 57,159 Richmond Hill ON MOD Con Lib 23,032 46.9% 1,757 3.6% 61.1% 23,032 21,275 3,950 – 856 – – 49,113 St. Catharines ON MOD Con Lib 24,870 43.2% 3,233 5.6% 67.7% 24,870 21,637 9,511 – 1,488 – 85 57,591 Sarnia—Lambton ON ORG Con Con 22,565 38.8% 4,463 7.7% 71.8% 15,853 22,565 18,102 – 1,605 – – 58,125 Sault Ste. Marie ON MOD Con Lib 19,582 44.8% 5,967 13.6% 68.3% 19,582 13,615 9,543 – 934 – 83 43,757 Scarborough Centre ON MOD Con Lib 22,753 50.5% 8,048 17.9% 63.2% 22,753 14,705 5,227 – 960 – 1,384 45,029 Scarborough North ON MOD NDP Lib 18,904 48.2% 8,167 20.8% 60.0% 18,904 10,737 8,648 – 579 – 320 39,188 Scarborough Southwest ON MOD NDP Lib 25,586 52.5% 14,012 28.7% 66.7% 25,586 10,347 11,574 – 1,259 – – 48,766 Scarborough—Agincourt ON MOD Lib Lib 21,587 51.9% 5,785 13.9% 59.4% 21,587 15,802 3,263 – 570 – 334 41,556 Scarborough-Guildwood ON MOD Lib Lib 25,167 60.0% 14,059 33.5% 64.6% 25,167 11,108 4,720 – 606 175 141 41,917 Scarborough—Rouge Park ON NEW Lib Lib 29,913 60.2% 16,326 32.9% 68.0% 29,913 13,587 5,145 – 1,010 – – 49,655 Simcoe North ON MOD Con Con 24,836 43.5% 2,118 3.7% 65.9% 22,718 24,836 6,037 – 2,543 618 319 57,071 Simcoe—Grey ON MOD Con Con 30,612 46.6% 5,260 8.0% 67.3% 25,352 30,612 6,332 – 2,923 – 528 65,747 Spadina—Fort York ON MOD NDP Lib 30,141 54.7% 15,094 27.4% 69.3% 30,141 8,673 15,047 – 1,137 – 150 55,148 Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry ON ORG Con Con 27,091 51.1% 6,639 12.5% 67.2% 20,452 27,091 4,332 – 1,191 – – 53,066 Sudbury ON MOD NDP Lib 23,534 47.4% 9,741 19.6% 68.2% 23,534 10,473 13,793 – 1,509 218 102 49,629 Thornhill ON MOD Con Con 31,911 58.6% 13,516 24.8% 67.1% 18,395 31,911 2,814 – 627 – 744 54,491 Thunder Bay—Rainy River ON MOD NDP Lib 18,523 44.0% 6,040 14.4% 66.3% 18,523 8,876 12,483 – 2,201 – – 42,083 Thunder Bay—Superior North ON MOD NDP Lib 20,069 45.0% 9,730 21.8% 68.7% 20,069 7,775 10,339 – 6,155 270 – 44,608 Timmins-James Bay ON MOD NDP NDP 15,974 42.9% 3,034 8.1% 61.1% 12,940 7,605 15,974 – 752 – – 37,271 Toronto Centre ON MOD Lib Lib 29,297 57.9% 15,830 31.3% 69.3% 29,297 6,167 13,467 – 1,315 147 209 50,602 Toronto—Danforth ON ORG NDP Lib 23,531 42.3% 1,206 2.2% 71.1% 23,531 5,478 22,325 – 2,618 – 1,629 55,581 Toronto—St. Paul's ON MOD Lib Lib 31,481 55.3% 16,105 28.3% 72.5% 31,481 15,376 8,386 – 1,729 – – 56,972 University—Rosedale ON NEW NDP Lib 27,849 49.8% 11,861 21.2% 72.8% 27,849 9,790 15,988 – 1,641 – 657 55,925 Vaughan—Woodbridge ON MOD Con Lib 23,041 48.7% 2,295 4.9% 63.9% 23,041 20,746 2,198 – 597 – 716 47,298 Waterloo ON MOD Con Lib 29,752 49.7% 10,434 17.4% 73.2% 29,752 19,318 8,928 – 1,713 – 138 59,849 Wellington—Halton Hills ON ORG Con Con 32,482 50.9% 9,203 14.4% 71.0% 23,279 32,482 5,321 – 2,547 – 183 63,812 Whitby ON MOD Con Lib 29,003 45.0% 1,849 2.9% 70.0% 29,003 27,154 6,677 – 1,403 279 – 64,516 Willowdale ON MOD Con Lib 24,519 53.4% 7,529 16.4% 60.6% 24,519 16,990 3,203 – 1,025 216 – 45,953 Windsor West ON MOD NDP NDP 24,085 51.3% 12,243 26.1% 54.8% 11,842 9,734 24,085 – 1,083 – 161 46,905 Windsor—Tecumseh ON MOD NDP NDP 23,215 43.5% 8,559 16.0% 61.1% 14,177 14,656 23,215 – 1,047 – 249 53,344 York Centre ON MOD Con Lib 20,131 46.9% 1,238 2.9% 65.7% 20,131 18,893 3,148 – 772 – – 42,944 York South—Weston ON ORG NDP Lib 20,093 46.0% 6,812 15.6% 61.1% 20,093 8,399 13,281 – 892 – 1,041 43,706 York—Simcoe ON MOD Con Con 24,058 50.2% 5,975 12.5% 63.3% 18,083 24,058 4,255 – 1,483 – – 47,879 Cardigan PE ORG Lib Lib 14,621 65.0% 10,989 48.9% 78.2% 14,621 3,632 2,503 – 1,434 – 295 22,485 Charlottetown PE ORG Lib Lib 11,910 56.3% 7,013 33.1% 75.6% 11,910 3,136 4,897 – 1,222 – – 21,165 Egmont PE ORG Con Lib 10,521 49.3% 4,336 20.3% 77.0% 10,521 6,185 4,097 – 559 – – 21,362 Malpeque PE ORG Lib Lib 13,950 62.1% 10,003 44.5% 78.9% 13,950 3,947 2,509 – 2,066 – – 22,472 Abitibi—Baie-James—Nunavik—Eeyou QC MOD NDP NDP 12,778 37.0% 1,684 4.9% 55.2% 11,094 3,211 12,778 6,398 779 – 258 34,518 Abitibi—Témiscamingue QC MOD NDP NDP 20,636 41.5% 5,903 11.9% 60.8% 14,733 3,425 20,636 9,651 859 – 425 49,729 Ahuntsic-Cartierville QC CHG Lib Lib 26,026 46.8% 9,342 16.8% 67.5% 26,026 4,051 16,684 7,346 1,175 – 285 55,567 Alfred-Pellan QC MOD NDP Lib 24,557 44.5% 11,332 20.5% 71.1% 24,557 6,259 13,225 9,836 1,089 203 – 55,169 Argenteuil—La Petite-Nation QC MOD NDP Lib 22,093 43.3% 9,443 18.5% 65.5% 22,093 5,680 12,650 9,525 1,118 – – 51,066 Avignon—La Mitis—Matane—Matapédia QC MOD BQ Lib 14,378 39.5% 6,737 18.5% 60.4% 14,378 2,228 7,340 7,641 365 – 4,404 36,356 Beauce QC MOD Con Con 32,910 58.9% 20,468 36.6% 66.0% 12,442 32,910 5,443 4,144 943 – – 55,882 Beauport—Côte-de-Beaupré—Île d’Orléans—Charlevoix QC MOD NDP Con 16,903 33.5% 3,347 6.6% 67.0% 13,556 16,903 9,306 9,650 859 – 182 50,456 Beauport—Limoilou QC MOD NDP Con 15,461 30.6% 2,580 5.1% 65.4% 12,854 15,461 12,881 7,467 1,220 – 675 50,558 Bécancour—Nicolet—Saurel QC ORG BQ BQ 20,871 40.0% 8,205 15.7% 67.5% 12,666 5,955 11,531 20,871 1,182 – – 52,205 Bellechasse—Les Etchemins—Lévis QC MOD Con Con 31,872 50.9% 18,911 30.2% 68.4% 12,961 31,872 8,516 7,217 2,032 – – 62,598 Beloeil—Chambly QC MOD NDP NDP 20,641 31.1% 1,147 1.7% 73.9% 19,494 6,173 20,641 18,387 1,498 – 245 66,438 Berthier—Maskinongé QC MOD NDP NDP 22,942 42.2% 8,905 16.4% 66.6% 11,032 5,548 22,942 14,037 847 – – 54,406 Bourassa QC MOD Lib Lib 22,234 54.1% 15,185 36.9% 59.1% 22,234 3,819 6,144 7,049 886 669 328 41,129 Brome—Missisquoi QC MOD NDP Lib 25,744 43.9% 11,361 19.4% 69.8% 25,744 6,724 14,383 10,252 1,377 – 195 58,675 Brossard—Saint-Lambert QC MOD NDP Lib 28,818 50.3% 14,743 25.7% 69.0% 28,818 7,215 14,075 6,071 1,081 – – 57,260 Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles QC MOD NDP Con 24,608 42.2% 11,083 19.0% 69.7% 13,525 24,608 11,690 7,177 1,256 – – 58,256 Châteauguay—Lacolle QC MOD NDP Lib 20,245 39.1% 7,630 14.7% 69.2% 20,245 5,805 11,986 12,615 982 – 149 51,782 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord QC MOD NDP Lib 13,619 31.1% 600 1.4% 66.7% 13,619 7,270 13,019 8,990 907 – – 43,805 Compton—Stanstead QC MOD NDP Lib 20,582 36.9% 5,282 9.5% 68.8% 20,582 6,978 15,300 11,551 1,085 – 315 55,811 Dorval—Lachine—LaSalle QC MOD NDP Lib 29,974 54.9% 18,205 33.3% 64.4% 29,974 6,049 11,769 5,338 1,245 230 – 54,605 Drummond QC ORG NDP NDP 15,833 30.5% 2,040 3.9% 65.2% 13,793 9,221 15,833 11,862 1,270 – – 51,979 Gaspésie—Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine QC CHG BQ Lib 15,345 38.7% 2,460 6.2% 60.8% 15,345 2,398 12,885 8,289 400 – 300 39,617 Gatineau QC MOD NDP Lib 31,076 53.8% 15,724 27.2% 69.1% 31,076 4,733 15,352 5,455 942 148 94 57,800 Hochelaga QC MOD NDP NDP 16,034 30.9% 500 1.0% 63.5% 15,534 3,555 16,034 14,389 1,654 – 738 51,904 Honoré-Mercier QC MOD NDP Lib 29,211 56.5% 20,733 40.1% 66.2% 29,211 6,226 8,478 6,680 814 – 249 51,658 Hull—Aylmer QC MOD NDP Lib 28,478 51.4% 11,006 19.9% 70.4% 28,478 4,278 17,472 3,625 1,035 160 392 55,440 Joliette QC MOD NDP BQ 18,875 33.3% 2,880 5.1% 67.0% 15,995 5,705 14,566 18,875 1,335 – 213 56,689 Jonquière QC MOD NDP NDP 14,039 29.2% 339 0.7% 67.0% 13,700 8,124 14,039 11,202 656 – 382 48,103 La Pointe-de-l'Île QC MOD NDP BQ 18,545 33.6% 2,768 5.0% 66.2% 15,777 4,408 14,777 18,545 1,130 – 493 55,226 La Prairie QC NEW NDP Lib 20,993 36.5% 5,886 10.2% 71.0% 20,993 6,859 13,174 15,107 1,235 – 204 57,572 Lac-Saint-Jean QC MOD Con Con 18,393 33.3% 2,658 4.8% 65.8% 10,193 18,393 15,735 10,152 806 – – 55,279 Lac-Saint-Louis QC MOD Lib Lib 39,965 64.1% 29,108 46.7% 72.9% 39,965 10,857 7,997 1,681 1,812 – – 62,312 LaSalle—Émard—Verdun QC MOD NDP Lib 23,603 43.9% 8,037 14.9% 64.8% 23,603 3,713 15,566 9,164 1,717 – – 53,763 Laurentides—Labelle QC ORG NDP Lib 20,277 32.1% 1,485 2.4% 66.3% 20,277 6,209 16,644 18,792 1,251 – – 63,173 Laurier—Sainte-Marie QC MOD NDP NDP 20,929 38.3% 5,230 9.6% 65.0% 12,938 2,242 20,929 15,699 1,904 160 809 54,681 Laval—Les Îles QC MOD NDP Lib 25,857 47.7% 15,147 27.9% 66.6% 25,857 9,811 10,710 6,731 921 – 175 54,205 Lévis—Lotbinière QC MOD Con Con 31,357 50.1% 17,795 28.4% 72.8% 13,562 31,357 9,246 7,163 1,124 – 136 62,588 Longueuil—Charles-LeMoyne QC MOD NDP Lib 18,301 35.4% 4,327 8.4% 62.8% 18,301 4,961 12,468 13,974 1,510 – 493 51,707 Longueuil—Saint-Hubert QC MOD NDP NDP 18,171 31.2% 703 1.2% 68.8% 17,468 5,087 18,171 15,873 1,447 – 153 58,199 Louis-Hébert QC MOD NDP Lib 21,516 34.8% 4,727 7.7% 76.6% 21,516 16,789 12,850 8,900 1,561 – 128 61,744 Louis-Saint-Laurent QC MOD NDP Con 32,637 50.5% 18,785 29.0% 70.9% 13,852 32,637 10,296 6,688 1,210 – – 64,683 Manicouagan QC MOD NDP BQ 17,338 41.3% 4,995 11.9% 56.7% 12,343 4,317 7,359 17,338 673 – – 42,030 Marc-Aurèle-Fortin QC MOD NDP Lib 22,323 40.9% 9,496 17.4% 72.4% 22,323 6,498 12,827 11,820 1,057 – – 54,525 Mégantic—L'Érable QC MOD Con Con 16,749 35.4% 3,441 7.3% 67.3% 13,308 16,749 10,386 5,838 1,006 – – 47,287 Mirabel QC NEW NDP BQ 18,710 31.5% 837 1.4% 68.9% 15,514 6,020 17,873 18,710 1,301 – – 59,418 Montarville QC MOD NDP Lib 18,848 32.5% 2,388 4.1% 77.7% 18,848 6,284 14,296 16,460 1,388 – 641 57,917 Montcalm QC MOD NDP BQ 19,405 36.6% 4,921 9.3% 64.7% 14,484 5,093 12,431 19,405 976 – 620 53,009 Montmagny—L'Islet—Kamouraska—Rivière-du-Loup QC ORG NDP Con 14,274 29.0% 272 0.6% 63.6% 14,002 14,274 11,918 7,939 823 – 287 49,243 Mount Royal QC MOD Lib Lib 24,187 50.3% 5,986 12.% 65.1% 24,187 18,201 3,884 908 747 – 124 48,051 Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount QC MOD Lib Lib 29,755 57.7% 18,526 35.9% 65.0% 29,755 7,414 11,229 1,282 1,581 151 181 51,593 Outremont QC MOD NDP NDP 19,242 44.1% 4,645 10.6% 61.9% 14,597 4,159 19,242 3,668 1,575 – 378 43,619 Papineau QC MOD Lib Lib 26,391 52.0% 13,259 26.1% 65.0% 26,391 2,390 13,132 6,182 1,443 768 465 50,770 Pierre-Boucher—Les Patriotes—Verchères QC MOD NDP BQ 17,007 28.6% 213 0.4% 76.3% 16,794 6,079 14,454 17,007 5,056 – – 59,390 Pierrefonds—Dollard QC ORG NDP Lib 34,319 58.7% 22,625 38.7% 69.0% 34,319 11,694 9,584 – 2,043 – – 58,505 Pontiac QC MOD NDP Lib 34,154 54.5% 20,064 32.0% 71.8% 34,154 8,716 14,090 4,337 1,089 – 239 62,625 Portneuf—Jacques-Cartier QC ORG NDP Con 27,290 44.0% 13,604 21.9% 71.1% 13,322 27,290 13,686 6,665 1,096 – – 62,059 Québec QC MOD NDP Lib 15,566 28.9% 1,000 1.9% 68.7% 15,566 11,737 14,566 10,153 1,570 – 275 53,867 Repentigny QC MOD NDP BQ 22,618 34.7% 4,820 7.4% 72.1% 17,798 7,053 15,167 22,618 1,242 – 1,333 65,211 Richmond—Arthabaska QC MOD BQ Con 18,505 31.6% 4,042 6.9% 69.3% 14,463 18,505 14,213 10,068 984 – 384 58,617 Rimouski-Neigette—Témiscouata—Les Basques QC ORG NDP NDP 19,374 43.1% 6,780 15.1% 64.7% 12,594 3,363 19,374 8,673 669 – 273 44,946 Rivière-des-Mille-Îles QC MOD NDP Lib 18,787 32.4% 1,676 2.9% 72.3% 18,787 6,099 17,111 14,755 1,136 158 – 58,046 Rivière-du-Nord QC MOD NDP BQ 18,157 32.0% 1,080 1.9% 64.4% 14,933 4,793 17,077 18,157 1,436 – 261 56,657 Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie QC MOD NDP NDP 28,672 49.2% 16,389 28.1% 69.7% 12,068 2,510 28,672 12,283 1,783 – 1,019 58,335 Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot QC ORG NDP NDP 15,578 28.7% 598 1.1% 68.6% 14,980 9,098 15,578 13,200 1,243 270 – 54,369 Saint-Jean QC ORG NDP Lib 20,022 33.2% 2,467 4.1% 69.6% 20,022 6,549 17,555 14,979 1,281 – – 60,386 Saint-Laurent QC MOD Lib Lib 24,832 61.6% 16,965 42.1% 58.9% 24,832 7,867 4,646 1,879 977 – 129 40,330 Saint-Léonard—Saint-Michel QC MOD Lib Lib 28,826 64.7% 22,215 49.9% 58.9% 28,826 4,957 6,611 3,204 805 – 128 44,531 Saint-Maurice—Champlain QC MOD NDP Lib 24,475 41.5% 12,230 20.7% 65.1% 24,475 9,592 12,245 11,295 1,144 – 196 58,947 Salaberry—Suroît QC MOD NDP NDP 18,726 30.4 % 771 1.3% 67.5% 17,955 6,132 18,726 17,452 867 219 184 61,535 Shefford QC MOD NDP Lib 22,957 39.0% 9,012 15.3% 68.0% 22,957 7,529 13,945 13,092 1,397 – – 58,920 Sherbrooke QC MOD NDP NDP 21,410 37.4% 4,339 7.6% 66.3% 17,071 5,391 21,410 11,717 1,143 303 265 57,300 Terrebonne QC MOD NDP BQ 19,238 33.0% 2,922 5.0% 70.5% 16,316 6,615 14,928 19,238 1,016 – 171 58,284 Thérèse-De Blainville QC NEW NDP Lib 18,281 32.5% 3,043 5.4% 72.1% 18,281 7,000 14,022 15,238 1,352 – 355 56,248 Trois-Rivières QC MOD NDP NDP 19,193 31.8% 969 1.6% 67.2% 18,224 11,231 19,193 10,249 1,032 – 360 60,289 Vaudreuil—Soulanges QC MOD NDP Lib 30,550 46.6% 15,923 24.3% 73.0% 30,550 9,858 14,627 9,858 1,445 – – 65,528 Ville-Marie—Le Sud-Ouest—Île-des-Sœurs QC MOD NDP Lib 25,491 50.8% 13,734 27.4% 59.0% 25,491 5,948 11,757 4,307 2,398 – 263 50,164 Vimy QC MOD NDP Lib 25,082 46.2% 13,691 25.2% 64.1% 25,082 7,262 11,391 9,068 1,280 – 260 54,343 Battlefords—Lloydminster SK MOD Con Con 20,547 61.0% 14,617 43.4% 66.5% 5,550 20,547 5,930 – 575 1,076 – 33,678 Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek SK MOD Con Con 26,004 64.7% 18,505 46.1% 71.8% 5,774 26,004 7,499 – 902 – – 40,179 Cypress Hills—Grasslands SK MOD Con Con 25,050 69.2% 19,669 54.3% 71.4% 5,381 25,050 4,783 – 993 – – 36,207 Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River SK MOD Con NDP 10,319 34.2% 82 0.3% 64.7% 10,237 9,105 10,319 – 552 – – 30,213 Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan SK MOD Con Con 23,273 55.5% 13,295 31.7% 72.2% 7,545 23,273 9,978 – 961 – 208 41,965 Prince Albert SK MOD Con Con 19,673 49.8% 8,429 21.3% 68.5% 7,832 19,673 11,244 – 761 – – 39,510 Regina—Lewvan SK CHG NDP NDP 16,843 35.2% 132 0.3% 74.6% 13,143 16,711 16,843 – 839 – 298 47,834 Regina—Qu'Appelle SK MOD Con Con 16,486 44.7% 5,342 14.5% 68.3% 8,401 16,486 11,144 – 852 – – 36,883 Regina—Wascana SK MOD Lib Lib 23,552 55.1% 10,621 24.9% 74.6% 23,552 12,931 5,362 – 878 – – 42,723 Saskatoon West SK CHG NDP NDP 14,921 39.6% 2,520 6.7% 66.4% 9,234 12,401 14,921 – 658 – 501 37,715 Saskatoon—Grasswood SK MOD Con Con 19,166 41.6% 5,257 11.4% 77.5% 12,165 19,166 13,909 – 846 – – 46,086 Saskatoon—University SK MOD Con Con 18,592 41.5% 4,477 10.0% 76.9% 11,287 18,592 14,115 – 686 – 93 44,773 Souris—Moose Mountain SK MOD Con Con 26,315 70.1% 21,184 56.5% 71.1% 5,076 26,315 5,131 – 994 – – 37,516 Yorkton—Melville SK MOD Con Con 21,683 59.2% 14,287 39.0% 67.4% 6,504 21,683 7,396 – 1,030 – – 36,613 Northwest Territories Terr ORG NDP Lib 9,172 48.3% 3,389 17.9% 63.4% 9,172 3,481 5,783 – 537 – – 18,973 Nunavut Terr ORG Con Lib 5,619 47.1% 2,448 20.5% 59.4% 5,619 2,956 3,171 – 182 – – 11,928 Yukon Terr ORG Con Lib 10,887 53.7% 5,959 29.4% 75.8% 10,887 4,928 3,943 – 533 – – 20,291
= application for judicial recount dismissed = judicial recount terminated = results as certified by a judge ^ "Voting results by electoral district". elections.ca . Retrieved May 5, 2022 . ^ "List of candidates by electoral district and individual results". elections.ca . Retrieved May 5, 2022 . ^ "Report on the 42nd general election of October 19, 2015: 2.4 Concluding the Election". elections.ca . February 3, 2016. ^ including spoilt ballots ^ minor political parties receiving less than 1% of the national popular vote are aggregated under "Other"; independent candidates are aggregated separately ^ Effect of redistribution: NEW - new riding; MRG - merger of ridings; ORG - boundaries unchanged; CHG - boundaries and 1st place results changed; MOD - only boundaries changed ^ valid ballots
Result overview ↓ 184 99 44 10 1 Liberal Conservative New Democratic BQ G
Summary analysis The disproportionality of parliament in the 2015 election was 12.02 according to the Gallagher Index , mainly in the Liberals' favour. Elections to the 42nd Parliament of Canada – seats won/lost by party, 2011–2015 Party 2011 (redistributed) Gain from (loss to) 2015 Lib Con NDP BQ Grn Liberal 36 88 58 2 184 Conservative 188 (88) 6 (8) 1 99 New Democratic 109 (58) 8 (6) (9) 44 Bloc Québécois 4 (2) (1) 9 10 Green 1 1 Total 338 – (148) 96 (7) 73 (8) 3 (9) – 338
Seats won, by share of vote going to winning candidate[ 4] Party in 1st place >50% 45-49.9% 40-44.9% 35-39.9% <35% Total Liberal 87 48 26 13 10 184 Conservative 42 24 20 8 5 99 New Democratic 3 4 12 14 11 44 Bloc Québécois 2 1 7 10 Green 1 1 Total 133 76 60 36 33 338
Detailed analysis
Turnout The election was notable for seeing voter turnout rise across all ages and sexes, and especially significant for the rise in younger voters. In particular, there was an increase of 1.2 million voters among those under the age of 35.[ 5]
Voter turnout by age and sex, %, 2015 vs 2011[ 6] [ 7] Age 2015 2011 ∆% Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Canada 66.1 64.1 68.0 58.5 57.3 59.6 7.6 4.5 8.4 18 to 24 years 57.1 53.8 60.5 38.8 36.9 40.9 18.3 16.9 19.6 1st time voters 58.3 54.9 61.9 40.5 38.4 42.8 17.7 16.4 19.1 Not 1st time 55.1 52.0 58.3 37.8 36.0 39.8 17.3 16.0 18.5 25 to 34 years 57.4 54.3 60.5 45.1 42.5 47.7 12.3 11.8 12.8 35 to 44 years 61.9 58.7 65.1 54.5 51.5 47.5 7.4 4.2 17.6 45 to 54 years 66.6 63.6 69.6 64.5 62.1 66.9 2.1 1.5 2.7 55 to 64 years 73.7 71.4 76.0 71.5 70.7 72.2 2.3 0.7 3.8 65 to 74 years 78.8 79.0 78.6 75.1 77.4 73.1 3.7 1.6 5.5 75 years and over 67.4 74.1 62.8 60.3 69.5 54.2 7.1 4.6 8.6
Geographic voting distributions
Party summaries
Liberals In the previous election, the Liberals were cut down to 34 seats, the fewest they had ever won in their history. It was the first time since the nation's founding that the Liberals had not been either in government or the Official Opposition. They picked up one additional seat in a by-election and one via a floor-crossing.
While the Liberals had been expected to regain much of what they had lost in 2011, they tallied the second-best performance in their history; the 184 seats was bettered only by the 191 they won in 1949 . It was also the most seats that a party had won since the Progressive Conservatives won a record 211 in 1984 .
The Liberal victory came mainly on the strength of a solid performance in the eastern part of the country. They took every seat in Atlantic Canada and Toronto , and won all but one seat in Ottawa . Most notably, they won 40 of Quebec 's 78 seats, mostly on the strength of taking all but five seats in Montreal . It was the first time since 1980 that the Liberals had won the most seats in Quebec.
After going into the election with only four seats west of Ontario, the Liberals had their best showing in Western Canada in more than two decades. They not only took all but one seat in Winnipeg and all but two seats in Vancouver , but won seats in Alberta for the first time since 2004. Notably, they won two seats in Calgary ; they had won only three seats there in their entire history prior to 2015, with their last win dating back to 1968 . They were the only party to win seats in every province.
Conservatives The Conservatives lost 60 seats to become the Official Opposition. They held their own in their heartlands of rural western Canada and central Ontario, and managed a respectable showing in southwestern Ontario and the more rural areas of eastern Ontario. However, they suffered heavy losses in urban southern Ontario, a region which had swung heavily to them in 2011. They lost all of their seats in Toronto itself and all but three in the 905 region . They also lost all of their seats in Winnipeg and Vancouver, as well as Atlantic Canada. It is the first time in decades that there are no centre-right MPs east of Quebec. They did, however, manage to make some gains in francophone areas of Quebec, mostly at the expense of the NDP.
Several members of Harper's cabinet were defeated, including Bernard Valcourt , Leona Aglukkaq , Gail Shea , Chris Alexander, Joe Oliver and Julian Fantino among others.
New Democrats The NDP, the Official Opposition in the previous parliament, fell to third place with 44 seats, losing more than half of their caucus. For the most part, their support bled over to the Liberals, though they lost a few areas of francophone Quebec to the Conservatives and Bloc.
Bloc Québecois The Bloc made a modest recovery after being nearly decimated in 2011, rebounding to 10 seats. However, Gilles Duceppe , who had been the longest-serving party leader in Canada at the time of his defeat in 2011, failed to win back his old seat of Laurier—Sainte-Marie . The party also received a smaller share of the popular vote than in the last election. As such, their gains could be attributable to NDP-Liberal vote splitting in francophone ridings more than a surge in popular support.
Contributing factors to party success The parties had varying degrees of success by region and by socioeconomic factors. An analysis by The Globe and Mail shortly after the election was held revealed significant differences:[ 8]
Party support arising from certain key factors by region in the Canadian general election (2015), as a proportion of the ridings won Region Income (Median household) Unemployment rate Visible minority population <$35,810 $35,810–$141,720 >$141,720 Low (4%–6%) High (9%–22%) Low (<2.41%) High (>26.8%) Atlantic Quebec Ontario Prairies British Columbia N/A The North
Results by province Party name BC AB SK MB ON QC NB NS PE NL YT NT NU Total Liberal Seats: 17 4 1 7 80 40 10 11 4 7 1 1 1 184 Vote: 35.2 24.6 23.9 44.6 44.8 35.7 51.6 61.9 58.3 64.5 53.6 48.3 47.2 39.5 Conservative Seats: 10 29 10 5 33 12 – – – – – – – 99 Vote: 30.0 59.5 48.5 37.3 35.0 16.7 25.3 17.9 19.3 10.3 24.0 18.0 24.8 31.9 New Democratic Party Seats: 14 1 3 2 8 16 – – – – – – – 44 Vote: 25.9 11.6 25.1 13.8 16.6 25.4 18.3 16.4 16.0 21.0 19.5 30.8 26.5 19.7 Bloc Québécois Seats: – – – – – 10 – – – – – – – 10 Vote: – – – – – 19.3 – – – – – – – 4.7 Green Seats: 1 – – – – – – – – – – – – 1 Vote: 8.2 2.5 2.1 3.2 2.9 2.3 4.6 3.4 6.0 1.1 2.9 2.8 1.5 3.4 Independent and no affiliation Vote: 0.1 0.8 0.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 – 2.9 – – – 0.2 Total seats 42 34 14 14 121 78 10 11 4 7 1 1 1 338
10 closest ridings
Significant results among independent and minor party candidates Those candidates not belonging to a major party, receiving more than 1,000 votes in the election, are listed below:
Significant vote tallies for independent and minor party candidates Riding Candidate Votes Placed Avalon NL █ No Affiliation Scott Andrews 7,501 2nd Avignon—La Mitis—Matane—Matapédia QC █ Strength in Democracy Jean-François Fortin 4,229 4th Battlefords—Lloydminster SK █ Independent Doug Anguish 1,076 4th Coquitlam—Port Coquitlam BC █ Libertarian Lewis Clarke Dahlby 1,014 5th Dauphin—Swan River—Neepawa MB █ Independent Inky Mark 3,357 4th New Westminster—Burnaby BC █ Libertarian Rex Brocki 1,368 5th Niagara West ON █ Christian Heritage Harold Jonker 1,234 5th Oxford ON █ Christian Heritage Melody Ann Aldred 1,175 5th Portage—Lisgar MB █ Christian Heritage Jerome Dondo[ a 1] 1,315 5th Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke ON █ Independent Hector Clouthier 6,300 3rd Repentigny QC █ Strength in Democracy Johnathan Cloutier 1,333 5th St. Albert—Edmonton AB █ Independent Brent Rathgeber 11,652 3rd Scarborough Centre ON █ Libertarian Katerina Androutsos 1,384 4th Sherwood Park—Fort Saskatchewan AB █ Independent James Ford[ a 2] 1,563 5th Toronto—Danforth ON █ Progressive Canadian John Richardson 1,275 5th York South—Weston ON █ Libertarian Stephen Lepone 1,041 4th
^ President of the CHP ^ Had placed 2nd in the previous two elections in the former riding of Edmonton—Sherwood Park
Retiring & defeated incumbents
Notional gains As a result of the 2012 federal electoral redistribution , thirty new ridings were added and many riding boundaries were changed, so several incumbent MPs who ran chose to do so in new ridings. The following table identifies the subsequent nominees in their old ridings and who they lost to.
Effects of redistribution As a result of the 2012 federal electoral redistribution , 31 new ridings were added and two ridings were merged. Boundary changes in eleven other ridings had the effect of revising the first-place ranking from what had occurred in 2011.
Net effect of 2012 redistribution Effect # New ridings 31 Merged riding 1 No change in boundaries 44 Modified boundaries - change in 1st place 11 Modified boundaries - no change in standing 251 Total 338
New and merged seats The following table identifies what party would have held the redistributed ridings based on 2011 results for the new ridings, and the subsequent MPs who were elected.
In Alberta, Vegreville—Wainwright and Westlock—St. Paul were merged to form Lakeland.
Reclassified seats * - Incumbent
Ridings with unchanged boundaries There were 44 ridings whose boundaries were not changed as a result of the redistribution.[ 10] Their election results were as follows:
* - Incumbent
Seats won/lost by party (ridings with unchanged boundaries) Party 2011 (redistributed) Gain from (loss to) 2015 Lib Con NDP BQ Grn Liberal 7 8 10 25 Conservative 19 (8) 2 13 New Democratic 17 (10) (2) 5 Bloc Québécois 1 1 Green – – Total 44 – (18) 8 (2) 12 – – – – 44
Notes
References ^ "Canada Election 2015 Live Results CBC". CBC.ca . ^ "Voter turnout spikes after long, unpredictable campaign". cbc.ca . October 20, 2015. ^ a b Daniel Schwartz (October 21, 2015). "Going deeper into Canada's 2015 federal election results". CBC News. ^ Antony Green (October 21, 2015). "Canada 2015 - Would Preferential Voting Have Made a Difference?". blogs.abc.net.au . Australian Broadcasting Corporation . ^ Clark, Campbell (June 15, 2016). "After 'a seismic shift' in voting, it's time to fill in the political trenches". The Globe and Mail . ^ "Voter Turnout by Age Group" (PDF) . Elections Canada . 2016. ^ "Voter turnout by sex and age" (PDF) . Elections Canada . 2016. ^ Eric Andrew-Gee (October 21, 2015). "How Canadians voted". The Globe and Mail . pp. A8–A9. ^ "Summary table of judicial recounts". elections.ca . 2015. ^ "List of unchanged federal electoral districts". elections.ca . Retrieved April 23, 2022 .