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2025 Canadian federal election in Saskatchewan

2025 Canadian federal election in Saskatchewan
← 2021 April 28, 2025 (2025-04-28) Next →
All 14 Saskatchewanian seats in the House of Commons
Registered825,621
Turnout560,766 (67.92%)[1]
  First party Second party Third party
 
Pierre Poilievre in 2023 (edited).jpg
Mark Carney portrait February 2020.jpg
Jagmeet Singh in Brantford 2022 2 (cropped3).jpg
Leader Pierre Poilievre Mark Carney Jagmeet Singh
Party Conservative Liberal New Democratic
Leader since September 10, 2022 March 9, 2025 October 1, 2017
Last election 14 seats, 59.0% 0 seats, 10.6% 0 seats, 21.1%
Seats before 14 0 0
Seats won 13 1 0
Seat change Decrease 1 Increase 1 Steady 0
Popular vote 362,049 148,920 42,310
Percentage 64.6% 26.6% 7.6%
Swing Increase 5.6% Increase 16.0% Decrease 13.5%
Prime minister before election

Mark Carney
Liberal

Prime minister after election

Mark Carney
Liberal

In the 2025 Canadian federal election, 14 members of Parliament were elected to the House of Commons from the province of Saskatchewan (4.1% of all members).

2022 electoral redistribution

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The 2025 Canadian federal election was the first election to utilize the electoral districts established following the 2022 Canadian federal electoral redistribution. The House of Commons increased from 338 seats to 343 seats. Saskatchewan's seat allocation stayed the same at 14 seats. This ensures that the average population per constituency in Saskatchewan is 80,893 (according to the 2021 Canadian census), which is 26,955 less people per electoral district than the national average.[2]

2021 results transposed onto 2023 boundaries
Party MPs
2021 actual result 2021 notional result Change
Conservative 14 13 Decrease 1
Liberal 0 1 Increase 1
New Democratic 0 0 Steady 0
Total seats 14 14 0 Steady

Timeline

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See also: By-elections to the 44th Canadian Parliament

Predictions

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See also: Opinion polling for the 2025 Canadian federal election
Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[a] 		Sample
size[b] 		Polling method[c] Lead
Rubicon Strategy April 10, 2025 [3] 25 38 11 2.5 2.5 — ± 4 pp 747 Online 13

Results

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Summary

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Saskatchewanian summary seat results in the 2025 Canadian federal election
Party Votes Vote % Vote +/- Seats Seat +/-
Conservative 362,049
64.6%
 Increase 5.6pp
13 / 14 (93%)
 Decrease 1
Liberal 148,920
26.6%
 Increase 16.0pp
1 / 14 (7%)
 Increase 1
New Democratic 42,310
7.6%
 Decrease 13.5pp
0 / 14 (0%)
 Steady 0
Green 3,092
0.6%
 Decrease 0.5pp
0 / 14 (0%)
 Steady 0
People's 2,999
0.5%
 Decrease 6.1pp
0 / 14 (0%)
 Steady 0
Independents and minor parties 1,396
0.2%
 Decrease 1.4pp
0 / 14 (0%)
 Steady 0
Total 560,766
100%
 –
14 / 14 (100%)
 Steady 0

[4]

Comparison with national results

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Results by party
Party Popular vote % Seats in caucus
SK Natl. diff.
Conservative 64.6 41.3 +23.3
13 / 144 (9%)
Liberal 26.6 43.7 -17.1
1 / 169 (0.6%)
New Democratic 7.6 6.3 +1.3
0 / 7 (0%)
Green 0.6 1.2 -0.6
0 / 1 (0%)
People's 0.5 0.7 -0.2 no caucus
  Total – – –
14 / 343 (4%)

Student vote results

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Student votes are mock elections that run parallel to actual elections, in which students not of voting age participate. They are administered by Student Vote Canada. These are for educational purposes and do not count towards the results.[5]

Summary of the 2025 Canadian Student Vote in Saskatchewan
Party Leader Seats Popular vote
Elected % Δ Votes % Δ (pp)
Conservative Pierre Poilievre 13 92.86 Increase 3 12,836 48.15 Increase 9.41
Liberal Mark Carney 1 7.14 Increase 1 5,846 21.93 Increase 9.87
New Democratic Jagmeet Singh 0 0 Decrease 4 4,432 16.62 Decrease 12.46
Green Elizabeth May & Jonathan Pedneault 0 0 Steady 0 2,097 7.87 Decrease 2.17
People's Maxime Bernier 0 0 Steady 0 874 3.28 Decrease 4.16
Other 0 0 Steady 0  574 2.15 Decrease 0.48
Total 14 100.00 Steady 0 26,659 100.00 –
Source: Student Vote Canada[6]

Notes

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  1. ^ In cases when linked poll details distinguish between the margin of error associated with the total sample of respondents (including undecided and non-voters) and that of the subsample of decided/leaning voters, the former is included in the table. Also not included is the margin of error created by rounding to the nearest whole number or any margin of error from methodological sources. Most online polls (because of their opt-in method of recruiting panelists which results in a non-random sample) cannot have a margin of error. In such cases, shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability-based sample of equivalent size.
  2. ^ Refers to the total, "raw" sample size, including undecided and non-voters, and before demographic weighting is applied. Fractions in parentheses apply to rolling polls (see below) and indicate the proportion of the sample that is independent from the previous poll in the series.
  3. ^ "Telephone" refers to traditional telephone polls conducted by live interviewers; "IVR" refers to automated Interactive Voice Response polls conducted by telephone; "online" refers to polls conducted exclusively over the internet; "telephone/online" refers to polls which combine results from both telephone and online surveys, or for which respondents are initially recruited by telephone and then asked to complete an online survey. "Rolling" polls contain overlapping data from one poll to the next.

References

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  1. ^ https://enr.elections.ca/Provinces.aspx?lang=e
  2. ^ "New House of Commons Seat Allocation" (Press release). Gatineau: Elections Canada. July 8, 2022. Archived from the original on July 8, 2022. Retrieved July 8, 2022.
  3. ^ "Poll of Sask. voters has Conservatives maintaining strong support, but Liberals gaining ground". CBC.ca. April 13, 2025. Retrieved April 13, 2025.
  4. ^ https://enr.elections.ca/Provinces.aspx?lang=e
  5. ^ https://studentvote.ca/canada/
  6. ^ "Student Vote Canada 2025 — Results". Retrieved April 29, 2025.